Learning about elearning, m-learning, eportfolios and topics relevant to my work in curriculum development. Also meanders into research, into workplace learning, apprenticeships and apprentice learning, trades tutors and vocational identity formation. Plus meanderings into philosophy and neuroscience as I learn about how we learn.
Usual disclaimers apply. This blog records my personal learning journey, experiences and thoughts and may not always be similar to the opinions of my employer.
Here is a 2015 report from the NZ and Australian Chartered Accountants perspective as prepared by the NZ Institute of Economics Research (NZIER).
Notes taken while browsing the report :
Over the next 2 decades over 800,000 jobs (46%) in danger of
being automated - this is now an often quoted figure by both current NZ government an opposition.
There is some good news, the economy is comparatively flexible due to
light regulation, comparatively low deficit, high resilience and although
population is aging, the impact is moderate compared to other OECD countries.
There is a threat as NZ has a large number of service sector
occupations / jobs many of which are threatened by disruptive technologies.
In general, technology displaces certain types of jobs but
also tends to create a whole new range of jobs. New jobs are invented for entirely new types of work. Jobs
may become more creative / interesting.
Concerns include impact of automation on large sectors of
blue and white collar employment; high skilled work may become replaced by
lower paying service industry jobs or permanent unemployment;NOTE - the education
system is currently not agile enough to cope with shift.
Jobs at risk are in transportation, logistics, office and
admin support and production labour. In NZ, the occupations are most risk are
labourers, machinery operators and drivers, clerical and admin workers, sales
workers and some technical /trades occupations.
Three industries spotlights used to illustrate the
disruptions – Smart cars, energy transformation and radical extension of life.