Notes from the various keynotes and presentations at the annual NZ VET Research Forum - in its 20th year.
The conference opened with Mihi Whakatau from the BCITO (Building and contruction industry training orgainsation) Waiata group. An uplifting welcome to the conference.
Jane Kennelly from Skills offered the conference welcome. Being the 20th conference, a short retrospective was undertaken to celebrate the milestone.
Minister for Tertiary Education, Honourable Penny Simmonds, then officially opened and addressed the conference. Thank the particants for their contributions across the last three years as policies were worked through. Getting VET right requires, government, industry, employers, educators to work together. Both industry and regions need stronger voice in VET. Updated the outcomes of the reversal of of RoVE including almost all ITPs standing alone by January 2027, the formation of ISBs and ITOs shifting across to becoming PTEs. 2026 is therefore a year of building the post RoVE VET system. Strong parterships required to meet the objectives. Future of apprentices summarised, including supporting industries' productivity enhancement. Apprentices move towards industry leadership with employers having an increased role. Regional connections are important along with bringing schools and industry together. Career decisions can be better connected. School subjects that provide clearer pathways will also help. Increased range of occupations that offer apprenticeships signalled. Encouraged the 'building of bridges' across all the VET to ensure that all gain better outcomes. Q&A followed.
International and opening keynote was presented by Dr. Tom Bewick, Editor in chief of The Skills Agenda. Spoke on 'skills policy in a changing world: old orthodoxies and new solutions.' Tom was here 17 years ago. In that time there has been huge increase in the digital economy and the advent of AI. Theme is one of repeated transitions, not just initial preparation. Education has shifted even more from being a scheme (conditional access, separate eligibility and funding, learning across institutional boundaries) to an entitlement (a pathway people count on, coordinated funding and recognition, options stay open). Need to think through the whole learning cycle. Went through research/policy informing VET. Becker (1964) education and training as an investment. Golding & Katz(2008) & Autor, Golding & Katz (2020) race between education and technology. Tertiary education participation has increased markedly but productivity growth has not been present.
Do skills demand derive from economic demand? How can the low-skill equilibrium be broken? perhaps through product/service strategy, job design and discretion, wage setting and progression, investment and collective coordination.
Posits that skill shortages are caused by poor coodination and a lack of investment in the workforce. Perhaps changing the incentives may be the way to to? What is asked - collaboration across institutions, put the learner pathwat first, recognise learning wherever it happens. Reorganisation is not distribution of power.
AI: an outcome to shape, not a fate to accept. 1 in 4 workers likely to be exposed - either positively or negatively. Shared the Dystopian displacement, concentrated power, diminished agency), Utopian (abundance, release from work drugery, a difference working life) and Rational optimist (good outcomes depend on ownership, invesment and regulation) perspectives. Getting strategic and policies right, now even more important. Proposed the rise of the 'new artisans' with autonomy from a more complete job - to research, design, prototype and deliver. This integrated skills which were previously dispersed across specialists.
Therefore, need to move from human capital to human capability, Skills formation is through learning people can access. Work needs to use those capabilities, and rewards are shared through fair share and progression. Therefore people are the source of progress and not simply outputs of productivity.
Need to have 3 interpendent strands - instituional (authority), fiscal (resources) and democratic (voice) along with national guarantees for these to occur. The right to learn needs time (protected leave, paid learning time, employer release), money (portable entitlement, income support, public/employer funding), recognition (prior learning counts, credit transfer, standards remain credible) and support (independent guidance, learning representatives, accessible provision). Skills-first provide some ideas, but need to be carefully contextualised. Advocated that a workforce investment fund (joint government and public audit) is one way to make the entitlement to learning portable, funded and enforcable. Better technology must mean better care and pay. For exampler more carers needed. Their tasks change with new technology and skills. It is important to provide a right to learn and share). Augmentation is not the whole story. Some occupations will be replaced eg. robotaxis. Others will have their capabilities augmented.
Therefore old orthodoxies (expand qualification, trust market incentives, reorganise from the top) need to be supported by new solutions, new relationships and improved access through additional investments. Encouraged research and for researchers to be free to report failure. So in 2043 - still learning and still questioning with the point of education to be to acquire a love of learning. There is no perfect system and it is up to each country to find one that will work for them.
Parallel sessions across 3 streams commenced after morning tea.
Attended two sessions from Scarlatti.
- Hannah Knighton (associate) on 'what happens after learners complete pre-trade training?' - Measuring the impact of pre-trades training: looking beyond completion to what learners do next. Presented the case with electrical trades learners (but project also included plumbing/gasfitting).
Between 2000-2500 learners each year. End up in apprenticeship, relevant employer, other work, other education, or overseas. Does completing change the destination. Are skill trades training following the pathways like everyone else. Best outcome is for pre-trades to move into apprenticeship, complete and move into career. Used Stats NZ integrated data infrastucture, to link education, apprenticeship and employment records. Checked within 3 months, a year, 2 years and 5 years. After 3 months, 12% in apprenticeship, 11% in relevant industry. 46% in unrelated and 29% in other. after a year, 40% who completed moved into apprenticeship with 52% in relevant industry as an apprenticehip. After 2 years, 27% in apprenticehsip and 45% in relevant industry - non- completers of pre trade also reenter.
This means, looking at completion could miss the pathway, completing is associated with a faster transition into apprenticeship, timing matters when measuring training outcomes, linked data can shor where differences exist, but not necessarily why. However, what drives faster transitions? and does earlier apprenticeship lead to better outcomes,
- Dr. Adam Barker (Director) on 'Beyonf EPIs: Linking vocational training investment with productivity'. Measuring how VET contributes to industry to productivity. Asked whether a certificate level 3 of 60 credits should be funded over a 25 credit leavel 5 microcredential. Tend to only measure enrolment and completion. Impact on productivity includes learner lifetime income, current employer profits and future employer profits. For training providers, ISBs and YEC, helop prioritise investment in trainng that has the most impact, make s stronger case to employers to train and inform the debate on who should pay for training. Briefly reviewed past projects on impact of training on wages and salaries and training on business profits. Useful data available on variation in productivity by industry, profitability within an industry, empoyers vies on training and experience, pay rates for different roles and occupaitons, emplyee income expectations, Shared design principles of the project being broad / holistic, useful rather than right, model first/ data second, and evolve in improve over time.
Explained the economic equation to work out individual's personal productivity. Then summarised some results in the primary industry context. Calculations across industry (dairy, fruit, arable, grapes and others), role level (semi-autonomous, managed, manager) experience and prior training (90% no post secondary to level 4), Then compared across programmes from microcredentials L3 - L5 agricultural management and certificate / apprenticehip at L3 and 4.
I then faciliate a workshop on 'personalised learning with AI: human-led cognitive apprenticeship'. Mostly around the need for self-direction and a good grounding in how AI works. Then encouraging everyone to work towards using AI, self-directed learning through AI, without AI and against AI.
After lunch, Dr. Veronica Tawhai presents on 'Equity and Te Tiriti in VET'. Reviewed the 4 articles in Te Tirit Waitangi - Kāwanatanga (governorship), Tino rangatiratanga (independence - for whenua (land), kainga (homes) taonga (treasure), Ngā tikanga katoa rite tahi (all the rights) and Mgā whakapono katoa (all faiths)/ Tde rtienga Māori (Māori practices). Aligned these to how Te Tiriti has been expressed and then discussed relevance to VET and especially equity and action.
Reflected on how Māori were active in marine commerce, had settled in many seaports in the Americas, and brought back many of the skills and knowledge from the Western canon, BEFORE the Te Tiriti was signed. The early Māori schools had academic learning in the morning, with vocational training in the afternoon. Therefore, Te Tiriti was strategised to provide a way forward for cooperative statehood for Aotearoa NZ.
Discussion on how the British envisioned Te Tiriti and how Māori wrote in the 4 principles to enshrine a reciprocal relationship. At the beginning, with Māori in the majority, commerce owned and administered thrived. 2/3 of vessels registered in Auckland in 1858 were Māori and these exported agricultural goods internationally. All of these involved VET.
As more settlers arrived, the first legislatures started to put up barriers to Māori enterprise. Instead, education and other social organisations, along with disease, war and lost of land, caused a decline in Māori status and outcomes. Only in the 1970s were Māori able to push back through urban activism.
Te Tiriti still sets up the way forward towards success equity. Encouraged everyone to understand where they have come from, how they can support the principles and to speak up when required. A thought-provoking presentation :)
Following on I attend the session on 'Cognify: A teaching for learning framework: connecting learner voice, learning theory and vocational teaching practice with Kathy Quayle, teaching and learning coach from Wintec. Began with a few questions establish audience understanding of cognition. The brain able to process vast amounts of information and only a small amount required for us to work out what is of relevance. When we try ot recall information, it helps us learn it better.
Summarised Cognify - a process that outlines five stages for any teaching session, supported by practical resources for planning and facilitation. Akonga engagement increased along wiht knowledge and skill retention. Practical planning and teaching resources supported. Came through ākonga voice - desirale practice statement developed. Applied theory and neuroscience including adult and student-centred learning. Skills valued by employers alsoincluded.
Steps are establish, recall, engage (try, find out, make, recieve, discuss), reflect and evaluate. Establish a welcoming environment, relationships, class culture and foundations. Engage ākonga in learning, recall prior knowledge and experiences, reflect on what has been learnt, and evaluate through feedback from ākonga and kaiako review. Provided examples of how each can be enacted.
Cognify supported by resources for the process (what it is, rationale and literature), planning (course/semester planning template, weekly/individual sessions) and resources (writing sessions, strategies to engage and focus ākonga, micro activities, and ākonga-centred list. Outlined the research project to support kaiako in the effective implementaion of Cognify. 9 kaiako across 18 months and 3 interviews. Shared findings on adopting cognify (used in different ways, new kaiako to plan, experienced for writing session plans for new kaiako, overlaid onto sessions plans for experienced kaiako, applied to break up long sessions etc. ); adapting Cognify (adapted in 2nd and 3rd year, informal evaluations to avoid evaluation fatique). Main challenge was time to follow the process through. Summarised changes made following feedback - microsoft guides kaiako through the 5 stages, automated workflow formats to plan, automating to lower administration load. Shared feedback.
The afternoon plenary is with Shamubeel Eaqub, chief economist for Simplicity. Focused on construction and training. Why are young people finding it difficult to get into work when there are large shortage of skills in many industries. Began with the cycles - construction rose all the way to 2024, before dropping sharply and is currently rising slowly; house sales also dropped off 2020 but again getting up again. Still not enough homes due to 46 years of underinvestment - roughly short of 100000 homes! Also there is the infrastructure need across the country due again to 40 years plus of underinvestment. Industry still not confident that although there is lots of work funding is uncertain. Stop-start of projects leads again to difficulty to forecast forward and reluctance to train/develop skills. Productivity penalty is therefore high and wages and profit again are affected. Explained the business language of productivity. Observed that businesses spent lots recruiting and training but very little retaining employees. In construction, most workers only work 1 to 5 years. 65% entry in to construction do not have qualifications. Highest source is from 'industry changers' (50%) and not in work (20%). Most skilled trades wages have risen, but retention of apprentices on completion is very low and the 'pay-back' from training apprentices is therefore low. Completion rates of trainees and apprentices across construction has trended down. This is across all ethnicities and gender. If 100 apprentices started, after 10 years, 36 in construction, and 17 to other industries. 6 never finish, 24 leave unqualificed, 9 overseas. Suggested the need to invest in individuals (leadershipl management and culture), in the people (informal/formal training, recruite for attributes, not just qualifications and experience, retention is crucial) and broader settings to be focused on include stable funding envelope, Learning (not just qualifications), skills need to be appropriate, useful and up to date, and delivered right. Officially 90,000 NEETs but definitely larger number - 130000 at least! A one size fits all education system does not work for all. Need to do better to provide opportunities for all. In workplace learning, employers and learners need to be at the centre. Q & A followed.
After afternoon tea, a keynote from Honourable Erica Stanford, Minister of Education is followed on by a panel. Began with a tribute to ex-CE of NZQA, Dr. Grant Kinkum who passed on recently who was a good supporter of VET. Equity of outcomes in Aotearoa education is still challenging. Rationalised the recent reforms across all education sectors from early childhood and formal schooling. Checkpoints now in place are to provide better feedback to parents, teachers and students. Retention through school also a challenge as students disengage if they have low literacy/numeracy or are unable to see the relevance of school. The total change to NZQA was not in the plan, but had to be worked through to try to create clearer and usable subjects to pathway students to help them meet their potential. ISBs now tasked with working on the curriculum of the nine industry subjects that will be launched in 2028.
Presented the election policy to have students stay in school to the end of year 11, rather than being able to leave school as soon as they turned 16.
The panel is facilitated by Rosanne Graham (CE of Skills Group), and the panel includes Peter Couchman (GM, Seven Electrical), Mark Oldershaw, (CE, Wellington NZ) and Brad Olsen (Principal economist, Infometrics) along with Hon Erica Stanford.
Apprenticeship are declining accompanied by skills shortages. How important are apprenticeships, how they can be supported better, and what happens if they do not increase? Brad brought up the bust/boom construction levels, end of free fees for students have acerbated the challenge. Erica explained how the average age of apprenticeship commencement is in the 20s, new industry subject will help increase the profile of apprenticeships for students. Trades academy funding has also increased and these both may help increase young people's entry into apprenticeship. What needs to addressed to take people on and retain them through difficult times when the economy slows. Transportability of NZ qualifications where the pay is more attractive help some re-enter the trade if they are made redundant. Future of apprenticeships and for young people based on understanding of regional needs is important. Apprenticeships need to be extended in range to help support industries needing specialised skills - especially in the tech. sector. Lower time to complete an apprenticeship should also be considered. Bridging Year 12 of school into apprenticeship or workplace training needs to be better structured. Could apprenticeship be thought of as a mode of delivery and workplace learning contributes to the completion of degrees. Equity is also a challenge, Māori and Pacificic peoples need support and encouragemtn to consider apprenticeships. Starting earlier, whilst still at school, is one way to engage all students.
Employers also need to be more 'learning-centred' and to consider different ways to engage and retain young people into their industries. Good employers should be recognised so that their apprentices are not poached (usually through offering better pay) and apprentices complete qualifications. Funding for employers needs to also be reviewed as the apprentices is a cost (although they are paid below minimum wage). Perhaps incentive take on Māori/Pacific or women into apprenticeships and perhaps also a 'reward' for apprenticeship completions.
Some regions are undergoing significant restructure in the types of industries that are located there. Education and VET is slow to shift to meet these needs. In many trades, apprentices enter older and often with another tertiary qualification. Upskilling for people in the 40s and 50s is also required. Funding is always a challenge. Funding for apprenticeship stops at Level 4 and this makes it difficult for degree apprenticeship options.
Industry subjects at school need to also be bridged with access to facilities like specialised workshops in polytechs and PTEs, so that there is no duplication of facilities. There will be an increase in specialised teachers at schools to also support learners.
Rosanne provided the overview on the work that needs to be undertaken to provide support to schools for the future roll-out of the industry subjects. Q & A collated on Slido.
A good discussion on the challenges and some possible solutions to support apprenticeships.
A networking function to launch the Skills Organisation white paper on the future of apprenticeship closes the day.