Future of work report 2025 - World Economic Forum

 This year's future of work report from the World Economic Forum, provides some good information as the world of work moves into the AI age. Summaries are provided for many countries by Aotearoa New Zealand is not included.

The forces contributing to the shifts are summarised as:

- increased digital access and advances across technologies (AI, information processing, robotics and automation, energy generation, storage and distribution), all influence the ways work is carried out and how work is structured.

- cost of living and other economic impacts of inflation, economic slowdown etc. will affect job creation.

- climate change mitigation leads to the need for new skills and generates new types of work and occupations.

- demographic shifts including worldwide aging of the workforce and increasing numbers of older people, living longer puts strain on economies.

-geoeconomics and geopolitical tensions make for an unpredictable future.

Jobs predicted to grow in volume include farmworkers, delivery drivers, construction workers, sales people and food processing workers, Care economy jobs in nursing, social work, counselling etc. also to grow significantly. Technology related roles including one related to data management and green energy transition roles also set to grow.

In contrast, clerical and secretarial work is set to decline along with jobs in the postal service, banks and data entry roles.

There is a great need to ensure that analytical thinking as a core skill is attained. Other skills include workers being resilient, flexible and agile. Understanding AI and big data are also important to leverage off the potential of these technologies. 

All in, a good overview  and reference source on the current state of work and what may come in the near future.

Gen AI strategies for Australian higher education - emerging practice

 The Australian Tertiary Education Quality and Standards Agency (TESQA) published a practice toolkit for Gen AI in November 2023. 

The guide covers three dimensions of tertiary education - Process, People and Practice. Each dimension is introduced and the implications of Gen AI are detailed, discussed and evaluated. Examples from Australian tertiary institutions are provided to provide case studies. These provide good templates from which individual institutional processes, policies and procedures can be contextualised and synthesised. 

All in a good resource to mine for relevant concepts as Gen AI takes hold across the tertiary landscape. 

Plans for 2025

 It looks like another busy year coming up.

Details of what post Te Pūkenga looks like will help clarify what is likely to occur at an organisational level and some of these may affect the composition of my current work team, our lines of management, and our objectives. Whatever happens, there is still a great deal of work to do!

Firstly, we have many programmes in review. In Aotearoa, all programmes of study are reviewed every five years. The responsibility for these, devolved to Te Pūkenga 2 years ago, but only a small number of programmes were 'unified'. Hence, we now have a substantial backlog of programmes, several over 3 years beyond their review timelines, to work on and have presented to NZQA by July. Therefore, my  educational development team (down to 5 from 8) are fully occupied with working through all the programme reviews.

Secondly, AI is not going away. Capability and professional development for our teaching colleagues, has been patchy, as lines of responsibility for who does what, have been unclear since Te Pūkenga disestablishment was announced late in 2023. Te Pūkenga was at the beginning of bringing together a consolidated approach to capability and development but this all came to a halt and individual institutions have been working on financial stability, maintaining quality etc. before looking at capability.

Thirdly, I am now about half way through scoping another group of scholarship of teaching and learning projects for this year. The focus will be on integrating AI into programmes with strong practice-based learning as currently, AI has text/writing focus. Multimodality of AI is not as common as integrating AI through text. Also, it is important to have AI available in practice-based learning environments - i.e. workshops, training kitchens / salons / studios etc. plus the need to have customised / bespoke or 'wall-garden' AI tools as the generalised AI (e.g. ChatGPT, CoPilot) often do not use specialised occupational vocabulary, with information drawn on being very North American-centric.

Therefore, it looks like there is quite a bit to do, making it difficult to even think about retiring for the moment!!

2024 review

 A rather busy year, filled with leading an interesting project - supporting foundation/bridging learners using AI -, a flurry of work in curriculum/learning design as all of this returns back to us post Te Pūkenga disestablishment, and participation in a range of relevant and important professional development opportunities.

As I write this, there is no greater detail on what happens to the various polytechnics and industry training organisations (ITOs) post Te Pūkenga disestablishment, apart from the brief details from the consultation information provided in September. The government's budget going into the next few years provide some inkling of what may happen to the Workforce Development Councils (WDCs) and Centres for Vocational Education Excellence (CoVEs). WDCs funding ends 2026 but they will likely continue due to their essential role as standards setting bodies. However, their actual roles going into the future are unclear. The CoVeEs for construction ((ConCOVE) and FF CoVE (food and fibre) will likely cease to exist beyond 2025. Both the CoVEs have funded a range of important vocational education and training research projects and it is a shame that they will not be continuing on to act on the recommendations and findings.

AI has been prominent across the year. At my institute, we have run a number of department focused and institute-wide research tools or teaching and learning AI integration workshops. Our staff capability runs the usual gamut from utter rejection of AI to having several with high levels of understanding and application towards using AI to support research or teaching/learning. 

VET like all other education context, must make key decisions about the role of AI and how it should be/ or can be leveraged to support teaching and learning. The 'holy grail' of education, personalised learning for every learner' is availed if AI is used carefully to augment and support learning - see this summary, one of many models, that shift teaching and learning from 'factory - one-size fits all' to individualised mastery learning for each learner.

Hence, another busy year but looking forward to next year, when hopefully, we begin to have productive conversations in shifting the current way teaching and learning occurs, towards a more learner and learning-centred model.

ACDEVEG - day 2 notes

 The day begins with reflections on the last ten years of ACDEVEG conferences with Darryl South and Erica Smith. Shared the conference themes across the decade and data on number of presentations, panels etc. An overview of each conference then presented. A summary of similar conferences before the 2015 ACDEVEG from the 1990s. Convassed the participants for ideas for themes and venues for future conferences. 

A panel session chaired by Annette Foley follows. The panelists are John Tucker (CE of TAFE QLD), Angela Dean (AEU Federation TAFE secretary), Evelyne Goodwin (Manager Policy and Projects for Community Colleges Australia) and Andrew Shea (Director, ITECA). The panel works through a series of topical questions. First question is on the importance of teachers /trainers in VET, followed by the challenges posed to TAFE teachers to meet inclusive/equity directions, what is done to promote the career of VET teachers and the knowledge/skills required of VET educators. Questions then opened to the floor with robust conversation undertaken!

After morning tea, presentations collated into 2 streams commence.

I attend the following:

'Diploma of VET at William Angliss Institute: Four ways to make a difference' with Melissa Jennings. Reported on the projects used to support teachers to complete the Diploma. Projects included project-based learning, then application of training and assessment practice; professional practice, and instructional designer to work on resources for teaching (f2f and online). All the projects require portfolios and demonstration/observation. Porfolios include professional development plan, trainer and assessor competency evidence, annotated bibliography, sample learning activities, supervised teaching practice, peer partnership, training log, elearning strategy and session plans. Projects go for 12 to 18 months. The process helps develop cognitive and technical competencies with contemporary teaching and learning processes. 21st century skills rubric used to map their competencies attained. 

Shared challenges around the the progress of these projects. May be better next time to run projects consecutively rather than concurrently. Workshop ensued to work through personas and their experiences on a project.

'what makes VET teachers want to stay in the job?' with Erica Smith, Darryl South and Annette Foley. Overviewed the context and background which was presented at last year's conference. There is almost no literature on VET teacher retention, so this project seeks to develop a robust evidence base to inform policies going forward. In the presention covered the motivations for entry and factors affecting decisions to remain. Received 146 valid responses to a survey with 47 questions. 

Most respondents over 50, slightly more females, 1/3 new, 1/3 5-9 years and 1/2 over ten years in teaching. 2/3 employed full time. 73+ % have diploma qualification or higher. Routes in teaching included 28% directly into full-time, 20% started part-time. 

58.6% identified as VET teacher, 3.4% to discipline and 37.9% as both. Mostly committed to staying and teaching. if likely to leave, 2/3 said they would return to industry and 1/3 to a difference industry. Those who identified as VET teacher less likely to leave. 

Participants value seeing learners develop, enjoy engaging learners and making a difference. Factors encouraging people to leave include workload, dissatification with management, too much compliance, poor workplace culture, pay, on-going change. 

Pay mentioned but not actually a major issue. Conditions of work more important, with management and compliance seen to be major challenges. Recommendations on balancing compliance and to help increase status of VET teachers. From the data, more likely to leave if they identify with occupation,, have another position outside of teaching, under 30, males, regional areas and those who have been managers before. 

Shared future work including on how to attract people to the VET workforce, providing better early career support and reducing administration and compliance.

The conference continues but I leave to catch a train to the airport :) All in, good presentations on issues which are similar to NZ. 

Australian Council for Deans of Education - Vocational Education Group - 10th annual conference - notes DAY 1

 At the annual ACDEVEG conference today and tomorrow where I have been invited to give a keynote. This is the first time I have attended this conference but many who are attending, would be familiar faces from the NCVER no-frills and AVETRA conferences.

The ACDEVEG is an inportant lobbying and support group for educators who work towards educatiing VET teachers. As such, these VET educators, are the teachers that ensure good teaching is a key part of the Australian VET system. 

The conference begins with Darryl South, the convenor for the conference welcomes all the conference delegates.

My keynote 'the importance of VET teacher education at a time of rapid change: some learnings from Aotearoa New Zealand' is based on the book chapter, recently published - Chan, S. (2024). Reform of Vocational Education (RoVE) in Aotearoa New Zealand: Implication on educators of VET teachers. In T. Deißinger & O. Melnyk (Eds.). Partnership-based Governance and Standardization of Vocational Teacher Education in Ukraine pp.79-94). Germany: wbv Publikation. 

The book chapter argued for the importance of VET teacher education and the need for VET teacher educators to keep up with the play and to especially model bicultural practices, which are foundational in moving into Te Pūkenga. However, even as Te Pūkenga is being disestablishes, the principles and need for continual professional knowledge and skill development, are still important. The presentation covered a brief overview of the reasons for the strong bicultural focus in Aotearoa and the ways the intended, enacted and experienced curriculum have transformed or have to adapt to keep up and move with the current and future national and social aspirations of Aotearoa. 

Then, Annette Foley presents a preview of the second editions of the ACDEVEG text book on 'teaching in the vocational sector in Australia'. The first edition 2014 was edited by Roz Kemmis and Liz Atkins. A second edition is now being published with updated chapters and the addtion of 2 more chapters with chapters on contemporary VET pedagogy and VET the economy and society. Publication date planned for June 2025. 

After afternoon tea, two steams of presentations are provided. Sessions are 45 minutes long so the participants are able to drill deeper into the topic being discussed. Notes below:

First up, a workshop on 'teaching VET teachers academic writing and integrity through Gen AI with Anthony Pearce from Federation University. The workshop helped participants explore academic integrity; connect AI to academic integrity; and assessment design considerations/frameworks. Shared a worked example ( course on writing and analysis for study and work - using AI to help teachers write resources. Shift from detection to integration of AI into assessment strategies to enhance student learning. Introduced the AI assessment scale (leonfurze.com). No AI, AI planning, AI collaboration, full AI, AI exploration. Design assessments which are diffcult for AI to reolicate, focus on higher order thinking skills, solve problems and create. Assessment tasks that require students to work at the higher levels in Blooms taxonomy. 

3 assessment tasks for from the example - compare and contrast sources (choose a topic, find academic sources, generate AI essay, find quality source and compare); reference and plagirism (use citations in text, write a reference list, discuss the academic and ethical issues in adding citations to AI); academic essay (submit academic essay, own work, focus on argument and critical thinking). Shared feedback from learners on the course. 

Note, there is nothing out there on using AI in competency based learning. 

Then, presentation with Sweta Singh and Michael Cowling on the work by Ke (Kelly) Xu, their PhD student, on 'upskilling and reskilling vocational educators for VR--based training environments. Shared the background, research question and methodology. Literature review shows VR used mainly in medical, military and workforce training. Digital literacies are essential for using VR but not all VET teachers have the right levels. Therefore, important to find out how to equip VET educators with the  knowledge, skills, and attributes to be able to confidently leverage VR. Shared the research methodology and next steps. The context will be on VR training on tunnelling units of competency.

Last up for the day, a round table with Wendy de Luca and Marg Malloch on 'learning and teaching: Vocational educators for the twenty-first century'. Shared the plans for an up and coming book. Sought feedback on the proposed content to see if there are other possibilities. 

OPSITAra - day 2 - notes

 The day begins with a keynote from Dr. Mazharuddin Syed Ahmed who speaks on 'empowering through education:meaningful refugee participation in NZ society. Mazhar began overview of the various communities he is involved in including the joint research group on Islamic New Zealanders. He summarised his participation in the Royal Commission formed to look at what happened during and after the mosque shootings. Followed with his development of a deep sense of belonging to Aotearoa. 

Proposed that meaningful refugee participation in includes voice in policies and in education begins with lowering educational integration barriers. For many refugees, their host country also contributes to atrocities occurring in his home country. Shared the stories of Bariz Shah to illlustrate the challenges refugees faced before and after their arrival.

Discussed why people migrate and summarised history of immigration across the millenium. Refugees are displaced not through choice, making it more challenging as the move is not through choice. Refugee intake in Aotearoa is still very low. For refugees, it is a long journey to Aotearoa. When they arrive, there are many continuing challenges and stress etc. Summarised why NZ is seen to be a good country to settle in. 

Shared the Aroha project he initiated after the mosque shootings. Used the murmuration of starlings as an example of the contribution of individuals to the wider activities - they do not have a leader as such. After the mosque shootings, it was individuals' actions which made a difference for the people affected. 

As a small country, NZers have 2 degrees of separation. We are born to be kind and care about others. Hate comes because we are taught to hate! The role of teachers is one key towards shifting from hate to love. Important to help students understand cognitive biases and what to do to check their own biases. Arts of bias lead to a downward spiral towards attitudes which support genocide! hence important to create opportunities for learners to understand the influence of bias.

Therefore, encouraged the need to be kind as it is contagious and good for our well-being and contributes to a better society.

After morning tea, I follow the Education 1 stream.

First up, Jamie Vaughan (Institute of IT professionals), Samuel Mann and Henk Roodt from Otago Polytechnic present on their work 'Hiapo framework - weaving professional identity in IT'. Sam presented work from Jamie's Doctoral work. Ongoing challenge of AI as being 'cowboys in suits'. In Jamie's masters, he found a mismatch of IT professionals and what was required in organisation practice. A comparison between nursing - 90% describes nursing IT but SFIA IT skills international) focuses 90% on technical skills. Applied Porter's value chain to bridge the nursing approach and SFIA. How to layer identity and values associated to bicultural practices (for example) is a output of Jamie's work as it is not only adding more 'skills' to SFIA but looking at holistic ways to integrate professional identity. The Niuen Hiapo (tapa cloth) to weave in meaning and narratives of 'being'. 

Following on we have, 'winning, doing and finishing: an account of externally funded research, with pointers for colleagues' with Cath Fraser and Judith Honeyfield from Toi Ohomai. Began with the challenges represented through the aged care industry and the rationale for studying older adults and aging. Study participants were Māori and Chinese people. Study looks at how health care education is constituted and delivered to look at how aged care  curriculum is enacted and student perspectives of older people. Ako Aotearoa project about to be completed. Provided and discussed research methodology and some findings. Shared some of the narratives/video resources as part of reporting the project. 

Then, Graeme Harris from Ara shares his work 'looking at teaching practice to develop a new high interest course'. He introduced the topic 'engineering systems analysis motorsport flavour'' how the level 7 course was developed, reflected on and reviewed. Described the rationale and process of drawing on industry expertise and feedback to select the content for the course (that could be logistically possible with current lab /industry equipment). Course is 2 and and half week block course and 50-100 hours to complete a specific project. Block course is hands on to learn the principles of testing, use the equipment, CAD software etc, to solve a problem along with industry visits. Block course finishes with a test and the post project project to complete the course is progressed through the semester and worth 35% of the course. Course outcomes are good with many students obtaining jobs with the industry supporters. Shared improvements going into the future. 

After morning tea, the last group of presentations:

Faye Wilson-Hill and Niki Hannan (Ara) with Hemi Hoskins (Te Wānanga o Aotearoa) and Hēperi Harris (Hawaiki Hou) present their ongoing work on 'Māui te Pūkenga: the evolution of the expert kaiako. The project sought to understand the experiences of kaiako as they expereince Maori culture and integrate these into their teaching, Data was collected through collaborative narrative inquiry yielding over 50 narratives. These kaiako were always travelling in the direction of learning and developing their culturally responsive pedagogy. They were already engaged in creating culturally responsive teaching environments. A re-framing mindset was also crucial to continually recognising and understanding bias so that indigenising and normalising mātauranga Maori continued. Not knowing was ok, but the important approach was to be comfortable with not knowing. 

Narratives were read out for the audience to better understand the concepts discovered, recognised, and honoured. 

Then with the team from Otago Polytechnic for the last two sessions in Education 2 stream. 

Layered drivers framework with Samuel Mann, Ruth Meyers, Dave Guruge, Jamie Vaughan and Mawera Keretai (University of Otago). Shared data collected from two participants, with their stories of working through disconnections between their individual identities within a discipline and organisational practices. Introduced the concept of levers in practice from the work of Mawera. Using stories of people subjected to decolonisation and ask participants to redo these stories to remove biases participants already hold. From there, the values required for inclusion into a curriculum can be distilled. Shared website with the information on the project.

Genre prompts as reflective tools in professional practice with Samuel Mann, Dave Guruge, Ruth Meyers and Kylie Wright. Modelled how the prompts can be useful to help people tell the stories of their practice / reflections  / challenges etc. 

The conference closed and moved on to join the Ara 'Blues and Brews' end of year celebration.